2024 is expected to end with a decrease but 2025 and 2026 may show increases.
The International Sleep Products Association’s Statistics Committee recently released its forecast for the U.S. mattress market, which covers 2024 through 2026.
Based in part on the current outlook for the U.S. economy prepared by the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics at the University of Michigan (the Michigan Model) and input from the ISPA Statistics Committee’s Forecast Panel, the consensus view was that the wholesale value of the total U.S. mattress market, which includes U.S.-produced sleep products and imports, would decrease in 2024 but will increase in 2025 and 2026.
For 2024, the report forecasts a 4.5% decrease in the wholesale value of mattress shipments and a 7.5% decrease in unit shipments. For 2025, the forecast predicts a 3% increase in the value of mattress shipments, while units shipped will increase by 1.5%. For 2026, the forecast anticipates a 6% increase in the value of mattress shipments and a 4% increase in unit shipments.
The forecast also contains economic and market analyses provided by Jerry Epperson, of Mann, Armistead & Epperson Ltd., and Ashraf Abdul Mohsen of Industry Insights Inc.
ISPA updates and publishes the Mattress Industry forecast two or three times a year, depending on market conditions.
Read the full forecast here.
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