The International Sleep Products Association’s Statistics Committee released the 2025 spring forecast for the U.S. mattress market, which covers calendar years 2025 and 2026. For the purposes of this forecast, the total U.S. mattress market (total mattress demand) includes wholesale shipments of mattresses and stationary foundations (U.S.-produced and imports).
For 2025, the consensus forecast is a 5.5% decline of total mattress units and a 3.5% decrease in shipment value, compared with 2024.
For 2026, total mattress shipments are predicted to grow by 3%, while the value of those shipments is expected to rise by 5%, compared with 2025.
The forecast for the total U.S. market is based, in part, on the current outlook for the national economy prepared by the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics at the University of Michigan, also called the Michigan Model, and input from the ISPA Statistics Committee Forecast Panel.
The forecast also contains economic and market analyses provided by Jerry Epperson, longtime furniture industry analyst and consultant, and Ashraf Abdul Mohsen, an economist for Industry Insights Inc.
ISPA updates and publishes the Mattress Industry Forecast two or three times a year, depending on market conditions.
ISPA members can download the forecast at SleepProducts.org.
Read more industry news at BedTimesMagazine.com.
